Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 1.931257 2.210529 2.517698 2.880897 3.299000 3.765680 4.326731
2025-06-29 1.471703 1.838936 2.280897 2.853223 3.576693 4.463372 5.636523
2025-07-06 1.206449 1.599567 2.102447 2.795366 3.729400 4.950521 6.677538
2025-07-13 1.101091 1.533184 2.114570 2.958148 4.158024 5.814141 8.292015
2025-07-20 0.973393 1.412972 2.030416 2.966774 4.361435 6.378452 9.546952
2025-07-27 0.895977 1.350185 2.013371 3.060074 4.685642 7.138701 11.167607
2025-08-03 0.808868 1.260477 1.943189 3.060161 4.861600 7.686783 12.518564
2025-08-10 0.731152 1.174924 1.867527 3.038822 4.994863 8.173819 13.818982
2025-08-17 0.658595 1.088756 1.780192 2.985927 5.065718 8.559847 14.986532
2025-08-24 0.615869 1.046238 1.757898 3.036170 5.311183 9.258260 16.770330
2025-08-31 0.577972 1.007463 1.736976 3.084616 5.555532 9.975969 18.668180
2025-09-07 0.534677 0.954660 1.686125 3.073370 5.688954 10.505137 20.271824
2025-09-14 0.481509 0.883076 1.602317 3.007121 5.740130 10.938423 21.852657
2025-09-21 0.438180 0.825672 1.539636 2.976405 5.862123 11.535393 23.877712
2025-09-28 0.396699 0.766729 1.466883 2.916020 5.915402 11.999396 25.688879
2025-10-05 0.386892 0.767640 1.508153 3.086132 6.455824 13.517194 29.975217
2025-10-12 0.360235 0.731954 1.473181 3.095147 6.658928 14.352796 32.873665
2025-10-19 0.345114 0.717981 1.480169 3.192660 7.063931 15.674380 37.084283
2025-10-26 0.322200 0.685159 1.444394 3.192750 7.251448 16.533840 40.326708
2025-11-02 0.299577 0.650526 1.401005 3.170448 7.384187 17.283059 43.411112
2025-11-09 0.276475 0.612428 1.346070 3.115165 7.431974 17.836626 46.083463
2025-11-16 0.263695 0.596100 1.337714 3.167677 7.745942 19.075574 50.737939
2025-11-23 0.251736 0.580391 1.329063 3.218311 8.061459 20.359395 55.717588